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Anthropic's Compute Scramble: Amodei Reportedly Rebuffed by Meta, Turns to SpaceX in Up-to-$45B Deal

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9

Why it matters

Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei asked Meta's Alexandr Wang for more computing capacity earlier this year, according to a Wall Street Journal report, and Meta declined. Meta has not commented, and the account rests on sources rather than public confirmation. Anthropic then turned to SpaceX, which acquired xAI in an all-stock deal in February. That agreement has been reported at up to $45 billion over the coming years. Anthropic and Google have also each signed large deals to rent compute from xAI. Google, meanwhile, paid $2.7 billion to bring back Noam Shazeer, only to lose him to OpenAI over insufficient compute.

Key terms of the SpaceX arrangement and the Meta exchange are not public, and the reported figures have not been officially confirmed by either company. Relief is also not expected soon. Micron's CEO said on its October 1 earnings call there is "no line of sight" to balancing memory supply, which he expects to stay much tighter in fiscal 2027 and 2028 than in 2026. One analysis puts relief no earlier than late 2027.

The squeeze affects every buyer, not just the largest. Hyperscalers are spending nearly $700 billion on AI infrastructure this year and placing open-ended memory orders. H100 rental prices have risen nearly 40% in six months, and cloud providers are demanding multi-year contracts with large upfront payments. Non-priority buyers face data center GPU lead times of 36 to 52 weeks. Attorneys advising AI companies, cloud customers, or investors should watch for compute-access terms in contracts, cross-company infrastructure arrangements, and any regulatory interest in how these alliances allocate scarce capacity.

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