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SpaceX’s $1.75 trillion IPO pitch leans on AI and Starlink growth

Published
Score
13

Why it matters

SpaceX is preparing a confidential IPO pitch valuing the company at $1.75 trillion, with the filing positioning the aerospace and satellite company as an AI infrastructure platform. The valuation represents a significant jump from the $1.25 trillion figure cited after SpaceX acquired Elon Musk's xAI business in February. The IPO materials project that 93% of SpaceX's addressable market—more than $28 trillion—derives from AI-related products and services, though the company's current revenue remains concentrated in its Starlink satellite internet division, which generated $11.4 billion in 2025 revenue.

The specifics of SpaceX's AI business and the company's concrete revenue projections from AI operations are not yet public. The filing's detailed financial assumptions and timelines for AI monetization remain confidential. SpaceX's core rocket-launching business continues to operate at a loss, according to available reporting.

The valuation raises a fundamental question for investors: whether SpaceX warrants a record-setting price tag based on speculative AI upside rather than demonstrated AI revenue. The pitch invites direct comparison with OpenAI and Anthropic, both pursuing IPOs with substantially higher current revenue run rates supporting their valuations. Attorneys tracking venture capital and aerospace regulation should monitor whether the SEC requests additional disclosure around revenue projections and the xAI acquisition's integration into SpaceX's business model.

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