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UK spy chief McCallum says Iran and Russia escalating hybrid attacks, cites suspected RAF Fairford plot

Published
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9

Why it matters

MI5 Director General Ken McCallum used his annual threat speech on 13 October 2026 to warn that Iran is shifting toward harder targets, mainly military sites, and that Russia is expanding hybrid operations against Ukraine's backers. McCallum said Iran's ambitions had changed noticeably this year. He declined to discuss the suspected plot against RAF Fairford, the base US bombers used for strikes on Iran, because an investigation is ongoing. He said the incident "is not unique." Iran-linked operations have produced more than 50 arrests in the past year. McCallum called Russia "aggressor number one" and cited a drone attempt on a cargo plane at a German airport and a cyber attack on Polish energy infrastructure as examples of tactics that "stop short, though sometimes not much short, of conventional conflict."

Both governments deny the allegations. Tehran has rejected any involvement in the Fairford incident or other malign activity in Britain. Russia's embassy in London called attributing every incident to Moscow "convenient" and said the "supposed Russian threat" is being used to justify expanded security powers and militarization. Prime Minister Andy Burnham said Tehran was "highly likely" behind the Fairford plot. The investigation has not produced public charges, and the details of the suspected plot have not been released.

Attorneys should watch for charges arising from the Fairford investigation and any further Iran-linked arrests, particularly cases involving criminal proxies recruited in Britain. McCallum said Iran relies on these networks for capability it lacks, so prosecutions may reveal how those recruitment chains operate. The speech also signals that state threats now receive more MI5 resources than at any point during the Cold War, which suggests more enforcement activity and possible policy moves on security powers. McCallum also flagged AI-enabled bioweapons as a top concern, an area clients in life sciences and tech may need to monitor.

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