Russia says it hopes Trump does not make 'a fatal mistake' on Venezuela - Reuters

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Core event: On January 3, 2026, the U.S. military conducted Operation Absolute Resolve, launching airstrikes on Caracas and capturing Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro and his wife, Cilia Flores, effectively removing Maduro from power.[1][4][6] The Trump administration framed this as a law enforcement operation to seize control amid demands for Venezuelan oil access, with Trump stating the U.S. would "run" the country during transition and seize 30-50 million barrels of oil for sale, directing funds to benefit Venezuela and the U.S.[1][2][4]

Key players: U.S. figures include President Donald Trump, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth; Delcy Rodríguez (Maduro's sister) was sworn in as interim president on January 5, rejecting U.S. oversight.[2][4] Venezuelan opposition leader María Corina Machado pledged oil access in prior talks.[4] Russia (Vladimir Putin, Sergey Lavrov) protested, warning against a "fatal mistake"; other actors are China, Iran, Cuba (targeted for expulsion), and U.S. oil firms seeking exclusive partnerships.[1][2][3][5]

Context and timeline: Tensions built in late 2025 with Trump's blockade of sanctioned Venezuelan oil tankers (December 2025) and secret talks on oil reserves after Machado's Miami pledge (November 2025).[2][4] The intervention aligns with Trump's 2025 National Security Strategy, aiming to disrupt drugs, migration, and foreign influence while securing oil; it echoes past U.S.-Russia Venezuela deals but now challenges Moscow's investments and arms loans.[1][3][4][5] No U.S. troops remain post-operation.[2]

Newsworthiness: This escalates U.S.-Russia friction—echoing Putin's Ukraine rhetoric while risking Russian "shadow fleet" seizures and Ukraine aid boosts—amid global oil stakes, NATO divisions, and fears of "Putinization" in U.S. policy.[1][3][4] Russia's December 18, 2025, Reuters warning against Trump's "fatal mistake" underscores Moscow's alarmed response to losing its Venezuelan foothold.[headline via input]

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