China's November factory activity swings back to decline, private PMI shows - Reuters

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Why it matters

China's private-sector manufacturing PMI fell to 49.9 in November 2025, signaling a return to contraction after brief expansion. The RatingDog China General Manufacturing PMI, compiled by S&P Global, dropped from 50.6 in October, missing analyst expectations of 50.5; readings below 50 indicate contraction.[1][2][3] Production growth halted, new domestic orders slowed, leading to job cuts, reduced purchasing, and falling inventories for the first time in seven months.[1][2]

Key players include S&P Global (PMI compiler), RatingDog (survey conductor), and economist Yao Yu (RatingDog founder), who noted sluggish demand despite export gains. An official NBS PMI confirmed ongoing contraction at 49.2 for the eighth straight month.[1][3][4] Export orders rose at the fastest pace in eight months, aided by a China-US trade truce in October, though domestic weakness persisted amid higher input costs and competition.[1][2][3]

This follows October's 50.6 reading and aligns with prior months of contraction, exacerbated by lackluster domestic demand and property sector drag. Industrial profits fell in October after earlier gains.[1] It's newsworthy as it underscores fragile recovery, heightening calls for policy support ahead of the December Central Economic Work Conference, despite fading fiscal tailwinds.[1][2][3]

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